IPL 2024 Playoffs Scenarios: More Than RCB Or CSK, This Team Has 87.3 Per Cent Chance To Advance

May15,2024






There are now five teams competing for the two available slots in the race for the IPL 2024 playoffs. Kolkata Knight Riders and Rajasthan Royals have already secured two spots. This leaves five teams – Chennai Super Kings, Royal Challengers Bangalore, Sunrisers Hyderabad, Delhi Capitals and Lucknow Super Giants – fighting for the remaining two spots. Except SRH, all the other teams have only one match left. This means that net run-rate will probably come into play to decide the final spots for the IPL 2024 playoffs.

According to Star Sports, the official broadcaster of IPL 2024, Sunrisers Hyderabad have an 87.3 percent chance of qualifying. This is much higher than Chennai Super Kings (72.7 percent) and Royal Challengers Bangalore (39.3 percent). DC has a 0.7 percent chance of qualifying while LSG has a 0.2 percent chance of qualifying.

Chennai Super Kings – 14 points in 13 matches (NRR +0.528)

Remaining matches – 1 (vs RCB)

Ruturaj Gaikwad-led Chennai Super Kings have a good chance. Has 14 points from 13 matches (NRR +0.528). If they beat RCB, they will be successful. Even a defeat against RCB in the final league game will not eliminate the defending champions. Then they will hope that RCB does not overtake them in NRR. If LSG wins its last game (and reaches 14), CSK will still be the favorite due to better NRR. They will also hope that SRH (14 from 12 games) lose both their matches to make it easier for them.

Sunrisers Hyderabad – 14 points from 12 matches (NRR +0.406)

Remaining matches – 2 (vs GT & PBKS)

Win in the remaining two matches will guarantee a playoff spot for SRH. Even if they lose one of their matches, they will still advance. If they lose both their games, it will all come down to net run-rate. If SRH loses both its remaining matches, while LSG and RCB win their last games, the Pat Cummins-led side will have to rely on NRR to finish in the top 4. If CSK beats RCB, and SRH lose both their games, they will be expected to maintain a better run-rate than LSG and DC to clinch the final play-off spot.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru – 12 points from 13 games (NRR +0.387)

Remaining matches – 1 (vs CSK)

With a five-match winning streak, RCB have made a massive turnaround. They won only one of their first seven games but since then it is a completely different team. RCB will have to beat Chennai Super Kings to reach 14 points to qualify. They will then hope that their NRR is above the other teams competing for the fourth spot in the playoffs. They will also hope that SRH loses both their remaining games or LSG does not win their last match by a big margin.

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