‘Shift in the wind: Major change in Americans’ political leanings ahead of 2024 presidential elections’

Apr13,2024



A new survey from the Pew Research Center shows a remarkable shift in voter party identification in the run-up to the 2024 presidential election in the United States, highlighting one of the most evenly divided electorates in recent decades.
According to Pew analysis, the American political landscape has seen significant changes since 1996. In 1994, 51% of Americans identified with the Republican Party, with 47% favoring the Democrats. This balance changed by 2020, where Democrats had a 5% share. The edge over Republicans. However, the latest 2023 data indicates a nearly balanced field, with 49% of voters identifying as Democrat or leaning Democratic and 48% identifying as Republican or leaning Republican.
The study also revealed demographic change, About 33% of respondents in 2023 identified as conservative or liberal, while 23% identified as moderate Democrat or libertarian leaning. Despite maintaining dominance among Hispanic, black, and Asian voters, Democratic support among non-Hispanic white voters has declined from 77% in 1996 to 56% in 2023. Meanwhile, Republican support among Hispanic voters has increased significantly, tripling from 3% to 9%. % over the past two decades, a Fox News report said.
Polls also indicate that Democratic support among minority voters is declining. A recent Gallup poll highlighted that 19% of black adults now identify as lean Republican or Republican, the lowest percentage recorded by Gallup since 1999, while 66% identify themselves as Democrats. Or identify as lean Democratic.
This shift also extends to age demographics, with Democrats being favored primarily by younger voters and Republicans being more favored by older voters. Geographically, rural voters have increased support for the GOP, with the party gaining a 25-point lead over Democrats, significantly larger than a similar split in 2008.
This evolving voter landscape sets the stage for a competitive rematch between President Biden and former President Donald Trump in November. While Biden won the 2020 election, the changing political affiliations reflected in Pew's data suggest a potentially different outcome in the upcoming election.



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